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Old 1/11/2009, 12:42 PM
Brad Kenney Brad Kenney is offline
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Default The CEO Asset Bubble

Reading some economics blogs today and came across a post by Princeton economist Uwe Reinhardt that takes the economics profession to task for completely missing the (sinking) boat on the economic meltdown. He places the blame at the feet of a type of macroeconomic pseudo-religious groupthink that believes:
...that private markets invariably are self-correcting and are driven by rational human beings whose careful decisions serve to allocate scarce resources efficiently — that is, these decisions maximize a nebulous thing economists call “social welfare.”

“Social welfare” in this view is thought to increase when those who gain from a change in the economy — e.g., a corporate restructuring or deregulation of the financial sector or increased foreign trade — gain more from the change than those who lose from it, even if the gainers had already been wealthy before the change and the losers poor. Thus, few economists were troubled by the explosion of executive compensation on Wall Street or elsewhere in corporate America. It was just the efficient market at work, rewarding these executives for the “value” they were creating. With their model of how the economy works, economists seem to have great difficulty recognizing bubbles in asset values and often are the last to recognize such bubbles, which is why the Fed has never addressed them.
Interesting that Reinhardt ties Wall Street compensation to an asset bubble without making the link explicit, when considering the state of their industry, there is no doubt that high-flying financial industry CEOs have been experiencing a hyperinflated market value that dwarfs anything that happened in the real estate sector.

(I would say the same of economists, except they probably don't get paid that much.)
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Old 1/15/2009, 08:55 PM
rbrooku rbrooku is offline
 
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Default Re: The CEO Asset Bubble

To make this simple, American business schools teach how to maximize profits at the expense of innovation and long term benefit.

This has been seen over and over in the tech industry because of the speed of change in that sector. Remember Apple was almost kaput when the "Harvard MBA" ousted Steve Jobs? Profits went up short term but eventually the company was only saved after Jobs returned and reintroduced innovation to the company. This is very, very common and now we simply see this in the slower moving industries, of which the financial industry used to be counted. BUT, after the NEW crop of leaders convinced everyone that their skills at short term self enrichment were "innovative", the financial sector began to move at the speed of the tech sector.

Too bad there was a real good reason for the traditional slowness of change in the financial sector. The reason was that more money could be lost to imprudence in the financial sector than any other sector. And the American public and political leadership, for the most part, believed the "Harvard MBAs" were being "innovative" when they cam up with "derivatives". My father (Jesse Unruh - California Treasurer and founder of the Council of Institutional Investors) talked to me about derivatives back in the 80's and said he did not understand or trust them. Well, DUH, turns out he was right. If you cannot adequately understand the finances of something, don't trust it. A simple truth a lot of people forgot.
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Old 1/20/2009, 02:45 PM
Abogle Abogle is offline
 
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Default Re: The CEO Asset Bubble

Today's business "leaders" only know how to chop, cut, slash, downsize, close and outsource. This is what they teach in business schools, precious few indeed can create and innovate.

This is the basic premise called "creative destruction" that if you destroy technologies and industries, somehow magically new innovations emerge from the ashes. This is a completely bogus idea. These "leaders" got the destruction part down pat, the creation part - not so much.


The fact is that most technology and innovation comes from the natural evolution of and improvements to existing technologies. Doing away with the means to produce technology and innovation eventually leads to loss of demand for that technology


As a wiser man than I told me recently "you can't cut your way to profitability - you have to grow your way into it"
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